Case Study | Retail

Market Analysis for Strategic Location Decisions

When the first warm temperatures arrive in the spring and blooming rapeseed fields dot the landscape, many people start to feel the urge to create a green home. Balconies, gardens, and patios are redesigned—a seasonal trend that noticeably influences purchasing behavior at garden centers.

 

For small, owner-operated garden centers and flower shops in particular, this marks the start of a particularly busy and profitable period. At the same time, it is clear that seasonal demand plays a role. However, long-term market trends are also changing the competitive landscape.

Customer purchasing behavior is undergoing a lasting change (purchasing power):

 

  • Many consumers are paying closer attention to prices

 

  • Garden products are more often purchased where people shop anyway—such as at the supermarket or online

 

  • In brick-and-mortar retail , demand for experiences, inspiration, and advice is on the rise

 

These developments show that a thorough market analysis is essential for accurately assessing demand potential and leveraging it strategically.

With annual sales of around 19 to 20 billion euros, the German garden market remains large and stable. Nevertheless, the market structure has changed significantly in recent years.

 

The Key Trends

  • Large retail chains and home improvement stores are gaining market share
  • Vendors from outside the industry, such as discount stores and online retailers, are expanding their product ranges
  • Traditional retailers such as florists and smaller garden centers are facing increasing competitive pressure

Market Analysis from a Regional Perspective

The Mainz–Wiesbaden region serves as a concrete example of what data-driven market analysis can look like. By combining Nexiga Topshops data with company data, it is possible to map the distribution of garden centers, florists, and other market participants in detail.

 

At the ZIP code level, it becomes clear that:

  • where competitors are concentrated
  • how well individual regions are served
  • where potential market gaps exist

 

Data visualization provides a crucial foundation for location decisions and strategic planning—this applies to every industry.

Market analysis as a foundation

To keep track of current trends and developments, specific data is required. The Nexiga Topshops and the extensive business address databases help you gain insight into trends and the competition.

 

This data enables a precise analysis of market structures—from the local competitive landscape to the identification of market opportunities.

 

Nexiga Topshops include, among other things:

  • Geographic coordinates of locations
  • Information about retail chains and brands
  • Contact information such as business hours, phone number, or email address
  • Data on regional, national, and international retail chains, such as supermarkets, drugstores, and home improvement stores

 

Nexiga Topshops enable a detailed and realistic representation of markets.

Data source for location and competitive analyses

With currently around 525,000 store locations in the Nexiga Topshops and over 4.5 million business addresses, a comprehensive and continuously updated database is available.

In addition, this data can be linked to other location- and market-related data, such as:

 

  • Purchasing power
  • Age structure
  • Development
  • Pedestrian frequency

 

Together, this provides a comprehensive picture of markets and locations.

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